The Conservatives would form Canada’s next government if there were an election tomorrow, according to the latest polling from Ipsos.
The poll—which surveyed 1,000 decided voters on June 19-20 on Global News’s behalf —revealed Tory leader Pierre Poilievre is gaining momentum just as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh have waning support.
Among decided voters, the Conservatives polled at 37%, up four points since a previous poll was administered in February, over the Liberals’ 32%—down a point from four months earlier—while the NDP slid by a couple of points to 16%.
The Bloc Quebecois’ had considerable support in Quebec, with 34% of decided voters surveyed throwing support behind the party—whose support grew by a percentage point to 8% nationally.
The Ipsos poll also revealed the Green Party dropped by a point to 3% last month, while the People’s Party of Canada—drew just 2%, falling by a point from February.
Nine percent of survey respondents were undecided about which party they’d vote for if there were a federal election tomorrow, and 6% said they would either spoil their vote or abstain altogether.
By region, the Ipsos poll reported the Conservatives enjoy strong support in Western Canada, while the Liberals garnered the lion’s share of their support among eastern provinces.
The Conservatives have stalwart support among decided voters in Alberta at 58%, followed by Saskatchewan and Manitoba with 43%.
Support for the Conservatives in British Columbia is at 37%, with the NDP tailing at 28%, while the Liberals and Green Party polled at 24% and 7%, respectively. In Ontario, the Tories have support from 38% of decided voters, and 35% in Atlantic Canada, but only 15% of Quebecers said they would vote for the party.
At 40%, support for the Liberals is most robust in Atlantic Canada, while they’re tied with the Conservatives in Ontario, and enjoy support among 37% of decided voters in Quebec. Although the Grits enjoy 35% of support in Saskatchewan and Manitoba, and 24% in B.C., support in Alberta drops precipitously to 13%.
The NDP received most of their support in BC with 28% of backing from decided voters, followed by Alberta (21%), Ontario (18%), and Saskatchewan/Manitoba (17%).
