Brantford—Brant

When Phil McColeman won this regional city with a strong manufacturing sector for the Conservatives in 2008, it was the first time in fifty years it was a significant gain. He won again in 2019 by 10% of the vote, but he’s not running in this election. The seat is a stretch goal for the Liberals, but becomes more winnable to them as it more commuters to Hamilton move in.