Essex

This swath of Southwestern Ontario includes suburbs of Windsor as well as many farming communities. A long-time NDP/Conservative battleground, it was one of the seats the Conservatives gained in 2019. Chris Lewis won it for the Conservatives and is trying to hold on to it against the woman he defeated, former NDP MP Tracey Ramsey. If the NDP is gaining seats in this election this one will be near the top of the list.